PSN NASCAR Handicapping Report & Picks: I Love New York 355

Pole sitter Kyle Busch tries for back-to-back Cup Series race wins as well as a weekend sweep at Watkins Glen International after winning the Xfinity Series race there yesterday.

By Greg DePalma, PSN Executive Producer

TRACK DATA

Track: Watkins Glen International

Sponsor: New York State

Shape: Road Course

Similar tracks: Sonoma

Defending champion: Denny Hamlin

T.V.:  Sunday, 3:00 p.m. ET (NBCSN)

 

TRACK TRENDS

– 21 of 31 all-time race winners started in the top-6 (front three rows) with seven pole sitters.

– 11 of the last 13 race winners started in the top-8 (front four rows).

– The farthest back a race winner has started is 18th (Steve Park/2000).

 

TOP CONTENDERS

Kyle Busch

Season: 3 top-5s and a win in his last six races.

Track: 10 top-10s in 12 career races including 5 top-5s and two wins.

Odds: 2-1

 

Martin Truex Jr.

Season: 3 top-5s and a win in his last four races.

Track: 3 top-5s in 11 career races while leading just six combined laps.

Odds: 4-1

 

Brad Keselowski

Season: 5 top-10s, L8 including 4 top-5s and a runner-up.

Track: 4 top-5s including three runner-ups in 7 career races; 3rd at Sonoma.

Odds: 7-1

 

Kyle Larson

Season: Finished 26th or worse in four of his last six races.

Track: 1 top-5 in three career races; also has 1 top-10 in four career Xfinity races.

Odds: 8-1

 

AJ Allmendinger

Season: 2 top-10s, L5.

Track: 3 top-5s and a win in 8 career races.

Odds: 11-1

 

Joey Logano

Season: Just 2 top-5s, L12.

Track: 3 top-5s and a win in 8 career races while leading only nine combined laps; has four straight top-10s here including a runner-up last year and a win in 2015.

Odds: 11-1

 

Kurt Busch

Season: Just 1 top-5 since winning the Daytona 500.

Track: 7 top-10s and 3 top-5s in 16 career races.

Odds: 13-1

 

Kevin Harvick

Season: 12 top-10s, L15 including 8 top-5s, two runner-ups and a win (Sonoma).

Track: 8 top-10s in 16 career races including 3 top-5s and a win.

Odds: 13-1

 

Jimmie Johnson

Season: Just 1 top-5 (win at Dover) in his last 13 races.

Track: 8 top-10s and 4 top-5s in 15 career races including leading just 17 combined laps.

Odds: 15-1

 

TOP LONG-SHOTS

Chase Elliott

Season: Just 2 top-10s, L5.

Track: 13th last year in first career Cup race here.

Odds: 17-1

 

Clint Bowyer

Season: 4 top-10s, L6 including 2 runner-ups.

Track: 4 top-10s and 1 top-5 in 11 career races including leading just 1-lap combined.

Odds: 22-1

 

Denny Hamlin (Defending Champion)

Season: 7 top-10s, L10 including 6 top-5s and a win.

Track: 5 top-10s in 11 career races including 2 top-5s and a win (has only led 10-laps in 11 races with all 10 last year); 4th at Sonoma.

Odds: 22-1

 

Jamie McMurray

Season: Just 1 top-5, L11.

Track: 3 top-10s and 1 top-5 in 14 career races including leading just 13-laps combined.

Odds: 25-1

 

Ryan Blaney

Season: No top-5s in his last seven races.

Track: 19th last year in first career Cup race here.

Odds: 45-1

 

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Season: No top-10s, L5.

Track: 2 top-5s in 16 career races; 6th at Sonoma.

Odds: 45-1

 

Matt Kenseth

Season: Three straight top-10s.

Track: 7 top-10s including three straight with 1 top-5 in 17 career races while leading only a combined 3-laps.

Odds: 45-1

 

RACE PICKS: WEEK 22

CJ RADUNE

RACE RECORD: 11 for 21

RACE TOTAL: -70

 

WEEK 22 RACE PICKS

M Truex Jr. (4-1)…40

AJ Allmendinger (11-1)…20

B Keselowski (7-1)…20

J Logano (11-1)…20

For a complete record of CJs weekly race picks you can check out his 2017 Balance Sheet Report which is updated after every race all season long.

 

GREG DEPALMA

RACE RECORD: 10 for 21

RACE TOTAL: -35

 

WEEK 22 RACE PICKS

B Keselowski (7-1)…50

C Elliott (17-1)…20

J Logano (11-1)…10

Kurt B (13-1)…10

J McMurray (25-1)…10

For a complete record of Greg’s weekly race picks you can check out his 2017 Balance Sheet Report which is updated after every race all season long.

 

Points Formula (Monster Energy Cup Series)

Each analyst receives a weekly allowance of 200 points to spend on races (100 x 36) and futures (100 x 32).

100 futures points will be invested before practice begins each week, while 100 race points will be invested on race day.

The weekly totals take into account both the 100 futures investment and the 100 in race picks.

After race 32 in Kansas, each analyst will no longer be obligated to invest the 100 in futures points if he chooses, although he must continue to invest the 100 in race points through Homestead.

 

Championship Odds (8/4)

Weekly Futures Picks Report

3-1…M Truex Jr.

4-1…Kyle B

5-1…J Johnson and K Larson

6-1…K Harvick

10-1…B Keselowski

12-1…D Hamlin

20-1…C Elliott

25-1…M Kenseth

30-1…J Logano

50-1…R Blaney

60-1…K Kahne

80-1…C Bowyer, Kurt Busch and J McMurray

100-1…T Bayne, A Dillon, Dale Jr., E Jones, R Newman R Stenhouse Jr. and D Suarez

Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinteresttumblr